Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 4
Villarreal CF vs RC Deportivo La Coruña Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Villarreal CF win39%
Draw26%
RC Deportivo La Coruña win36%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 76%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.40 – 1.34
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
RC Deportivo La Coruña have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–06.4%
- 2–06.3%
- 0–25.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Villarreal CF | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.14 | 1.43 |
| Goals per match | 1.86 | 1.43 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.71 | 1.14 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 29% |
Villarreal CF recent form
LLLWW
RC Deportivo La Coruña recent form
WWDLD
Recent form
Villarreal CF
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Deportivo Alavés0–1
- Dat Atlético Madrid2–2
- Dat Real Racing Club de Santander2–2
- Wvs Atlético Madrid5–1
- Lat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0–2
RC Deportivo La Coruña
1W 2D 0L in the last 3 · 5 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Valencia CF3–1
- Dat Málaga CF1–1
- Dvs Elche CF1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.