Primera Division · Matchweek 10

Valencia CF vs Villarreal CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Valencia CF win17%
Draw20%
Villarreal CF win63%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Under 2.5 goals
39%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
1.01 – 2.13

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Valencia CF's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. Villarreal CF carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–29.8%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–37.0%
  • 0–37.0%
  • 2–25.0%
  • 2–14.7%

Team comparison

StatisticValencia CFVillarreal CF
Matches played77
Points per match0.571.14
Goals per match0.571.86
Goals conceded per match1.861.71
Home / away goals scored27
Home / away goals conceded96
Last 5 points36
Last 5 goals scored49
Last 5 goals conceded128
Win percentage14%29%

Valencia CF recent form

LLLWL

Villarreal CF recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

Valencia CF

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
  • Wat Deportivo Alavés1–0
  • Lat Sevilla FC0–1
  • Lvs Barcelona0–5
  • Lat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–3

Villarreal CF

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs Levante UD3–1
  • Wat Málaga CF3–1
  • Lvs Real Betis Balompié1–2
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund2–3
  • Lvs RC Deportivo La Coruña2–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.