Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 4
Valencia CF vs Barcelona Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 6 Sept, 15:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Valencia CF win9%
Draw14%
Barcelona win77%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS yes
- 50%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS no
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 0.77 – 2.63
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Valencia CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Barcelona have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Barcelona's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.6%
- 0–310.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.9%
- 1–37.8%
- 1–16.8%
- 0–46.7%
- 1–45.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Valencia CF | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.57 | 3.00 |
| Goals per match | 0.57 | 4.43 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.86 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 17 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 24 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 100% |
Valencia CF recent form
LLLWL
Barcelona recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Valencia CF
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–3
- Lvs Real Betis Balompié0–1
- Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0
- Wvs Barcelona3–1
- Wat Real Sociedad de Fútbol4–3
Barcelona
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid5–2
- Wvs Athletic Club2–0
- Wat Elche CF5–0
- Lat Valencia CF1–3
- Wvs Real Betis Balompié3–1
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.