Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 14
SSC Napoli vs US Lecce Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 14
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SSC Napoli win62%
Draw21%
US Lecce win18%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 2.07 – 1.01
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 1–19.6%
- 1–09.5%
- 3–16.8%
- 3–06.8%
- 2–25.0%
- 1–24.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SSC Napoli | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 1.36 | 0.91 |
| Goals per match | 1.64 | 1.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.27 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 36% | 27% |
SSC Napoli recent form
LDWLD
US Lecce recent form
WLLLD
Recent form
SSC Napoli
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded
- Dvs SS Lazio1–1
- Lat FC Porto1–4
- Lat Juventus0–2
- Wat AC Monza4–1
- Dvs AS Roma3–3
US Lecce
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded
- Dat Torino FC1–1
- Lvs Genoa CFC1–2
- Lat Frosinone Calcio1–5
- Lvs Juventus0–2
- Wat Udinese Calcio3–0
Team news
SSC Napoli
- Scott McTominay transfer 'could become a reality' in major twist for ex-Man United star
- Man United handed update on sensational Scott McTominay return after transfer 'enquiry'
- Napoli and Roma return to training, Inter, Milan, Como enjoy break: Serie A clubs' international schedule
- Scott McTominay's recovery timeline revealed ahead of ex-Man United star's heart surgery
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.