Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 1
Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 15 Aug, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 1
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Sevilla FC win30%
Draw27%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win43%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS yes
- 49%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 70%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 23%
- BTTS no
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.09 – 1.37
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Sevilla FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–111.8%
- 1–09.3%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–08.6%
- 0–28.0%
- 2–16.9%
- 2–05.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Sevilla FC | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 33% |
Sevilla FC recent form
LDWWL
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form
LWLWD
Recent form
Sevilla FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded
- Lat RC Celta de Vigo0–1
- Lvs Real Madrid0–1
- Wat Villarreal CF3–2
- Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
- Wvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol1–0
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded
- Wat Deportivo Alavés2–1
- Wvs Villarreal CF2–0
- Dat Valencia CF1–1
- Dvs Girona FC1–1
- Wat Getafe CF2–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
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Draw
23%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.