Primera Division · Matchweek 1

Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Sevilla FC win30%
Draw27%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win43%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.37

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sevilla FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.8%
  • 0111.8%
  • 109.3%
  • 128.7%
  • 008.6%
  • 028.0%
  • 216.9%
  • 205.1%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.