Primera Division · Matchweek 3

Sevilla FC vs Atlético Madrid Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 20:30 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sevilla FC win46%
Draw22%
Atlético Madrid win32%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.52

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sevilla FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Atlético Madrid's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.6%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–06.3%
  • 2–05.9%
  • 3–15.6%
  • 0–15.1%

Team comparison

StatisticSevilla FCAtlético Madrid
Matches played67
Points per match1.672.29
Goals per match1.332.29
Goals conceded per match1.331.00
Home / away goals scored36
Home / away goals conceded64
Last 5 points712
Last 5 goals scored512
Last 5 goals conceded75
Win percentage50%71%

Sevilla FC recent form

LDWWL

Atlético Madrid recent form

WLWWW

Recent form

Sevilla FC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Athletic Club3–1
  • Lat RC Celta de Vigo0–1
  • Lvs Real Madrid0–1
  • Wat Villarreal CF3–2
  • Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1

Atlético Madrid

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Villarreal CF2–2
  • Wvs Málaga CF2–0
  • Lat Villarreal CF1–5
  • Wvs Girona FC1–0
  • Wat CA Osasuna2–1

Team news

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.