Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 27
SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 22:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 27
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SE Palmeiras win64%
Draw20%
São Paulo FC win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 2.04 – 0.87
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates SE Palmeiras's home scoring output above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average. The model credits São Paulo FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given SE Palmeiras's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.3%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.7%
- 3–07.7%
- 3–16.7%
- 0–05.5%
- 0–14.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SE Palmeiras | São Paulo FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.40 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 0 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 50% |
SE Palmeiras recent form
WDDWD
São Paulo FC recent form
LWWLW
Recent form
SE Palmeiras
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 3 conceded
- Dat Botafogo FR0–0
- Dat Mirassol FC1–1
- Wvs CR Vasco da Gama4–1
- Wat Ceará SC3–1
- Wat CA Mineiro3–0
São Paulo FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs CA Mineiro2–0
- Wvs RB Bragantino2–1
- Lat Chapecoense AF0–1
- Dvs Coritiba FBC1–1
- Lat EC Vitória0–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.