Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 46%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 27
SE Palmeiras vs São Paulo FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 22:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 27
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SE Palmeiras win64%
Draw20%
São Paulo FC win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 2.04 – 0.87
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates SE Palmeiras's home scoring output above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average. The model credits São Paulo FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given SE Palmeiras's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.3%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.7%
- 3–07.7%
- 3–16.7%
- 0–05.5%
- 0–14.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SE Palmeiras | São Paulo FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 13 |
| Points per match | 2.27 | 1.38 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.36 | 1.08 |
| Home / away goals scored | 19 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 38% |
SE Palmeiras recent form
WWWDW
São Paulo FC recent form
WWDLD
Recent form
SE Palmeiras
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 3 conceded
- Dat Botafogo FR0–0
- Dat Mirassol FC1–1
- Wvs CR Vasco da Gama4–1
- Wat Ceará SC3–1
- Wat CA Mineiro3–0
São Paulo FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs CA Mineiro2–0
- Wvs RB Bragantino2–1
- Lat Chapecoense AF0–1
- Dvs Coritiba FBC1–1
- Lat EC Vitória0–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Clube do Remo vs Chapecoense AF
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 48%BTTS: 51%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Flamengo vs CA Paranaense
Home
79%
Draw
12%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 38%BTTS: 44%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.