Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 28
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Fluminense FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 28
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SC Corinthians Paulista win26%
Draw22%
Fluminense FC win51%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 1.33 – 1.92
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees SC Corinthians Paulista's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. Fluminense FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. Fluminense FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.9%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–17.5%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–16.6%
- 2–26.3%
- 1–36.1%
- 1–05.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SC Corinthians Paulista | Fluminense FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 5 |
| Points per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 0.83 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 0 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 60% |
SC Corinthians Paulista recent form
LLLLL
Fluminense FC recent form
WDWLW
Recent form
SC Corinthians Paulista
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Flamengo1–2
- Lvs Chapecoense AF1–2
- Lvs Santos FC0–1
- Lat Coritiba FBC1–2
- Lvs Cruzeiro EC1–2
Fluminense FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat CA Mineiro1–3
- Wvs CR Vasco da Gama1–0
- Dat CA Paranaense3–3
- Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
- Wvs EC Bahia2–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.