Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 46%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 26
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Chapecoense AF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 6 Sept, 23:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 26
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SC Corinthians Paulista win38%
Draw25%
Chapecoense AF win37%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS yes
- 58%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 78%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS no
- 42%
- Expected goals
- 1.44 – 1.40
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees SC Corinthians Paulista's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. Chapecoense AF have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–28.3%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–06.0%
- 2–25.9%
- 0–05.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SC Corinthians Paulista | Chapecoense AF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 0.42 | 0.92 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.08 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.83 | 2.08 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 8% | 25% |
SC Corinthians Paulista recent form
LDLWD
Chapecoense AF recent form
LLWLL
Recent form
SC Corinthians Paulista
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 8 conceded
- Lvs Santos FC0–1
- Lat Coritiba FBC1–2
- Lvs Cruzeiro EC1–2
- Dvs EC Juventude1–1
- Lat Fortaleza EC1–2
Chapecoense AF
1W 1D 1L in the last 3 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Grêmio FBPA1–3
- Wvs São Paulo FC1–0
- Dvs EC Bahia3–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Clube do Remo vs Chapecoense AF
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 48%BTTS: 51%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Flamengo vs CA Paranaense
Home
79%
Draw
12%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 62%
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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 38%BTTS: 44%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.