Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 26
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Chapecoense AF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 6 Sept, 23:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 26
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SC Corinthians Paulista win38%
Draw25%
Chapecoense AF win37%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS yes
- 58%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 78%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS no
- 42%
- Expected goals
- 1.44 – 1.40
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees SC Corinthians Paulista's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. Chapecoense AF have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–28.3%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–06.0%
- 2–25.9%
- 0–05.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SC Corinthians Paulista | Chapecoense AF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 0 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 33% |
SC Corinthians Paulista recent form
LLLLL
Chapecoense AF recent form
WLWLD
Recent form
SC Corinthians Paulista
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 8 conceded
- Lvs Santos FC0–1
- Lat Coritiba FBC1–2
- Lvs Cruzeiro EC1–2
- Dvs EC Juventude1–1
- Lat Fortaleza EC1–2
Chapecoense AF
1W 1D 1L in the last 3 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Grêmio FBPA1–3
- Wvs São Paulo FC1–0
- Dvs EC Bahia3–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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Draw
23%
Away
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60%
Draw
19%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.