Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 46%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 21
São Paulo FC vs Santos FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 3 Oct, 00:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 21
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
São Paulo FC win32%
Draw26%
Santos FC win42%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 51%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 74%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 27%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.23 – 1.42
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees São Paulo FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. The model credits Santos FC with an above-average away defensive record. Santos FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–28.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 2–17.6%
- 0–27.2%
- 0–07.1%
- 2–25.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | São Paulo FC | Santos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 13 | 13 |
| Points per match | 1.38 | 1.92 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.62 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 15 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 38% | 54% |
São Paulo FC recent form
WWDLD
Santos FC recent form
LWDDL
Recent form
São Paulo FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs SC Internacional1–0
- Lat SE Palmeiras0–2
- Wvs CA Mineiro2–0
- Wvs RB Bragantino2–1
- Lat Chapecoense AF0–1
Santos FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat Clube do Remo2–1
- Wvs Cruzeiro EC2–1
- Wat SC Internacional3–2
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista1–0
- Dvs Mirassol FC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 2 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Clube do Remo vs Chapecoense AF
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 48%BTTS: 51%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Flamengo vs CA Paranaense
Home
79%
Draw
12%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 38%BTTS: 44%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.