Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 35

São Paulo FC vs Fluminense FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 20 Nov, 00:30 (GMT)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 35
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

São Paulo FC win38%
Draw27%
Fluminense FC win35%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.26

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

São Paulo FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Fluminense FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 0–07.6%
  • 2–06.6%
  • 0–26.0%

Team comparison

StatisticSão Paulo FCFluminense FC
Matches played1311
Points per match1.381.73
Goals per match1.001.91
Goals conceded per match1.081.27
Home / away goals scored1011
Home / away goals conceded510
Last 5 points86
Last 5 goals scored67
Last 5 goals conceded56
Win percentage38%55%

São Paulo FC recent form

WWDLD

Fluminense FC recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

São Paulo FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dvs SC Corinthians Paulista0–0
  • Lat EC Bahia2–3
  • Dat Mirassol FC1–1
  • Wvs CR Vasco da Gama1–0
  • Wvs EC Vitória2–1

Fluminense FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat EC Vitória3–0
  • Wvs SC Internacional2–1
  • Lat Chapecoense AF1–2
  • Lvs Santos FC1–2
  • Lat Flamengo0–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.