Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30

São Paulo FC vs EC Vitória Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 01:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 30
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

São Paulo FC win44%
Draw25%
EC Vitória win30%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
49%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.20

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

São Paulo FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. EC Vitória's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 2–07.6%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 0–06.7%
  • 2–25.5%

Team comparison

StatisticSão Paulo FCEC Vitória
Matches played1312
Points per match1.381.00
Goals per match1.001.08
Goals conceded per match1.081.50
Home / away goals scored105
Home / away goals conceded59
Last 5 points82
Last 5 goals scored63
Last 5 goals conceded59
Win percentage38%25%

São Paulo FC recent form

WWDLD

EC Vitória recent form

LDDLL

Recent form

São Paulo FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Cruzeiro EC0–2
  • Lvs Santos FC1–2
  • Wvs SC Internacional1–0
  • Lat SE Palmeiras0–2
  • Wvs CA Mineiro2–0

EC Vitória

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Chapecoense AF4–0
  • Lvs Cruzeiro EC1–3
  • Dat Mirassol FC2–2
  • Wvs Grêmio FBPA1–0
  • Lat CA Mineiro1–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.