Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30
São Paulo FC vs EC Vitória Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 01:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 30
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
São Paulo FC win57%
Draw23%
EC Vitória win19%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS yes
- 49%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 74%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS no
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.75 – 0.91
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
São Paulo FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. São Paulo FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour São Paulo FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–111.1%
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.0%
- 0–16.3%
- 3–06.3%
- 3–15.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | São Paulo FC | EC Vitória |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 33% |
São Paulo FC recent form
LWWLW
EC Vitória recent form
LLWDL
Recent form
São Paulo FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs SC Internacional1–0
- Lat SE Palmeiras0–2
- Wvs CA Mineiro2–0
- Wvs RB Bragantino2–1
- Lat Chapecoense AF0–1
EC Vitória
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded
- Lvs Cruzeiro EC1–3
- Dat Mirassol FC2–2
- Wvs Grêmio FBPA1–0
- Lat CA Mineiro1–2
- Lvs EC Bahia0–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.