Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 46%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 31
São Paulo FC vs CR Vasco da Gama Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 01:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 31
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
São Paulo FC win42%
Draw26%
CR Vasco da Gama win32%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.44 – 1.23
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees São Paulo FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given São Paulo FC's home defensive numbers. CR Vasco da Gama arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–07.2%
- 0–06.9%
- 2–25.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | São Paulo FC | CR Vasco da Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 13 | 12 |
| Points per match | 1.38 | 1.58 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.08 | 1.58 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 38% | 50% |
São Paulo FC recent form
WWDLD
CR Vasco da Gama recent form
DLWLW
Recent form
São Paulo FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs EC Vitória2–1
- Lat Cruzeiro EC0–2
- Lvs Santos FC1–2
- Wvs SC Internacional1–0
- Lat SE Palmeiras0–2
CR Vasco da Gama
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 3 conceded
- Dvs Clube do Remo0–0
- Wat Botafogo FR2–1
- Wvs Coritiba FBC5–0
- Wat Grêmio FBPA2–1
- Lat Fluminense FC0–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Clube do Remo vs Chapecoense AF
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 48%BTTS: 51%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Flamengo vs CA Paranaense
Home
79%
Draw
12%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 38%BTTS: 44%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.