Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 27

Santos FC vs Cruzeiro EC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 13 Sept, 01:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 27
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Santos FC win47%
Draw23%
Cruzeiro EC win31%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.45

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Santos FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.9%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 1–06.8%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 2–06.3%
  • 3–15.6%
  • 0–15.4%

Team comparison

StatisticSantos FCCruzeiro EC
Matches played66
Points per match2.672.00
Goals per match2.002.00
Goals conceded per match0.831.50
Home / away goals scored37
Home / away goals conceded27
Last 5 points139
Last 5 goals scored910
Last 5 goals conceded58
Win percentage83%67%

Santos FC recent form

DWWWW

Cruzeiro EC recent form

WLWLW

Recent form

Santos FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wat SC Internacional3–2
  • Wat SC Corinthians Paulista1–0
  • Dvs Mirassol FC1–1
  • Wat CR Vasco da Gama3–0
  • Wvs Cruzeiro EC3–0

Cruzeiro EC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wvs CA Paranaense3–1
  • Lat CR Vasco da Gama1–3
  • Wvs Flamengo2–1
  • Wat SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
  • Lat Santos FC0–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.