Primera Division · Matchweek 1

Real Madrid CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Real Madrid CF win76%
Draw14%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol win10%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Under 2.5 goals
29%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
2.78 – 0.91

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Real Madrid CF, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Real Sociedad de Fútbol carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Real Madrid CF, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 209.7%
  • 309.0%
  • 218.8%
  • 318.2%
  • 107.0%
  • 116.3%
  • 406.2%
  • 415.7%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.