Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 1
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 26 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Wed 26 Aug, 21:00 (CEST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 1
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Real Madrid win56%
Draw25%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol win19%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 57%
- BTTS yes
- 44%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 69%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS no
- 56%
- Expected goals
- 1.60 – 0.81
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Real Madrid, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Recent results also favour Real Madrid, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.4%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–011.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–09.0%
- 0–17.3%
- 3–06.1%
- 3–15.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Real Madrid | Real Sociedad de Fútbol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 2.14 | 1.43 |
| Goals per match | 2.57 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.14 | 1.86 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 71% | 43% |
Real Madrid recent form
WLWWL
Real Sociedad de Fútbol recent form
WDWLW
Recent form
Real Madrid
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
- Wvs Athletic Club4–2
- Wat Sevilla FC1–0
- Wvs Real Oviedo2–0
- Lat Barcelona0–2
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1
- Dat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1
- Lvs Valencia CF3–4
- Dat Girona FC1–1
- Dvs Real Betis Balompié2–2
Team news
Real Madrid
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 26 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.