Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 2
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 22 Aug, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win11%
Draw18%
Real Madrid win70%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS yes
- 47%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS no
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 0.75 – 2.17
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Real Madrid CF have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Real Madrid CF's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Real Madrid CF arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.8%
- 0–111.7%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–39.2%
- 1–18.7%
- 1–36.9%
- 0–05.4%
- 0–45.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.14 |
| Goals per match | 1.43 | 2.57 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 71% |
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona recent form
LDWLL
Real Madrid recent form
WLWWL
Recent form
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Levante UD3–0
- Dvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol1–1
- Wat CA Osasuna2–1
- Wvs Athletic Club2–0
- Lat Sevilla FC1–2
Real Madrid
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Athletic Club4–2
- Wat Sevilla FC1–0
- Wvs Real Oviedo2–0
- Lat Barcelona0–2
- Wat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–0
Team news
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
- Man Utd transfer news: Barcelona midfielder Gavi rejects chance to join Old Trafford - Paper Talk
- JJ Gabriel: Barcelona sporting director denies interest in Manchester United teenager
- Man United handed JJ Gabriel transfer update as Barcelona chief breaks silence on move
- JJ Gabriel receives Barcelona 'guarantee' after three Man United decisions riled his dad
Real Madrid
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.