Primera Division · Matchweek 1

RC Celta de Vigo vs CA Osasuna Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Thu 27 Aug, 19:30 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

RC Celta de Vigo win39%
Draw33%
CA Osasuna win29%
Predicted score
0–0
Over 2.5 goals
27%
Under 2.5 goals
73%
BTTS yes
35%
Over 1.5 goals
54%
Over 3.5 goals
11%
BTTS no
65%
Expected goals
0.99 – 0.81

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

RC Celta de Vigo have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. CA Osasuna have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. RC Celta de Vigo's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–016.5%
  • 1–016.4%
  • 0–113.4%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 2–16.6%
  • 0–25.4%
  • 1–25.4%

Team comparison

StatisticRC Celta de VigoCA Osasuna
Matches played77
Points per match1.001.14
Goals per match1.140.86
Goals conceded per match0.861.86
Home / away goals scored74
Home / away goals conceded510
Last 5 points64
Last 5 goals scored74
Last 5 goals conceded412
Win percentage14%29%

RC Celta de Vigo recent form

LDDDW

CA Osasuna recent form

WLLLD

Recent form

RC Celta de Vigo

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat Valencia CF0–0
  • Wvs Sevilla FC1–0
  • Dat Athletic Club1–1
  • Lvs Levante UD2–3
  • Wat Atlético Madrid1–0

CA Osasuna

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Levante UD0–0
  • Lat Getafe CF0–1
  • Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–2
  • Lvs Atlético Madrid1–2
  • Lat Levante UD2–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 27 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.