Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 3
RC Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Club Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 30 Aug, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
RC Celta de Vigo win53%
Draw26%
Athletic Club win20%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS yes
- 43%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 67%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 20%
- BTTS no
- 57%
- Expected goals
- 1.50 – 0.82
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
RC Celta de Vigo have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Athletic Club, who have shipped goals above the Primera Division average on the road. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.8%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–011.1%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.0%
- 3–05.6%
- 1–24.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | RC Celta de Vigo | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 33% |
RC Celta de Vigo recent form
LDDDW
Athletic Club recent form
LWWDD
Recent form
RC Celta de Vigo
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Lvs CA Osasuna1–2
- Dat Valencia CF0–0
- Wvs Sevilla FC1–0
- Dat Athletic Club1–1
- Lvs Levante UD2–3
Athletic Club
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat Barcelona0–2
- Lvs Sevilla FC1–3
- Lat Real Madrid2–4
- Dvs RC Celta de Vigo1–1
- Lat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.