Primera Division · Matchweek 4

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Racing Club de Santander Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win44%
Draw27%
Real Racing Club de Santander win29%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.10

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.4%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–08.1%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 1–26.9%
  • 0–24.9%

Team comparison

StatisticRayo Vallecano de MadridReal Racing Club de Santander
Matches played67
Points per match1.331.00
Goals per match1.671.57
Goals conceded per match2.333.00
Home / away goals scored64
Home / away goals conceded416
Last 5 points76
Last 5 goals scored99
Last 5 goals conceded1318
Win percentage33%29%

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form

LWLWD

Real Racing Club de Santander recent form

WLWLL

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Barcelona2–5
  • Dvs Deportivo Alavés1–1
  • Wat Deportivo Alavés2–1
  • Wvs Villarreal CF2–0
  • Dat Valencia CF1–1

Real Racing Club de Santander

1W 1D 1L in the last 3 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Elche CF3–2
  • Lat Getafe CF0–1
  • Dvs Villarreal CF2–2

Team news

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.