Primera Division · Matchweek 2

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win56%
Draw24%
Deportivo Alavés win20%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.90

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.7%
  • 1111.5%
  • 2010.7%
  • 219.6%
  • 007.6%
  • 016.8%
  • 306.0%
  • 315.4%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.