Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Thu 20 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win56%
Draw24%
Deportivo Alavés win20%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 52%
- BTTS yes
- 48%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.68 – 0.90
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given Rayo Vallecano de Madrid's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.7%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–010.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–07.6%
- 0–16.8%
- 3–06.0%
- 3–15.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 13 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 33% |
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form
LWLWD
Deportivo Alavés recent form
WWLLD
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded
- Wat Deportivo Alavés2–1
- Wvs Villarreal CF2–0
- Dat Valencia CF1–1
- Dvs Girona FC1–1
- Wat Getafe CF2–0
Deportivo Alavés
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–2
- Wat Real Oviedo1–0
- Wvs Barcelona1–0
- Dat Elche CF1–1
- Lvs Athletic Club2–4
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
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CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.