Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 14
Nottingham Forest FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 17:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 14
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Nottingham Forest FC win15%
Draw22%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win63%
- Predicted score
- 0–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS yes
- 47%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS no
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 0.80 – 1.89
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Nottingham Forest FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Brighton & Hove Albion FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Brighton & Hove Albion FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Brighton & Hove Albion FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.8%
- 0–212.1%
- 1–110.2%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–37.7%
- 0–06.8%
- 1–36.1%
- 1–05.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Nottingham Forest FC | Brighton & Hove Albion FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.90 | 2.20 |
| Goals per match | 0.90 | 2.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 2 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 70% |
Nottingham Forest FC recent form
LLDLW
Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form
WWLWW
Recent form
Nottingham Forest FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Manchester City FC3–1
- Lat Brentford FC0–2
- Dat Ipswich Town FC1–1
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
- Lat Crystal Palace FC1–3
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs Brentford FC2–0
- Wat Manchester City FC1–0
- Lat Liverpool FC0–2
- Wvs Crystal Palace FC5–0
- Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Fulham FC
Home
41%
Draw
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Away
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Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Hull City AFC
Home
57%
Draw
25%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 44%BTTS: 45%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.