Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 27

Mirassol FC vs EC Vitória Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 13 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 27
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Mirassol FC win35%
Draw24%
EC Vitória win41%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
37%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.60

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Mirassol FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–06.9%
  • 2–26.4%
  • 0–26.0%
  • 2–05.0%

Team comparison

StatisticMirassol FCEC Vitória
Matches played1312
Points per match1.311.00
Goals per match1.151.08
Goals conceded per match1.381.50
Home / away goals scored95
Home / away goals conceded99
Last 5 points72
Last 5 goals scored53
Last 5 goals conceded59
Win percentage31%25%

Mirassol FC recent form

LWDLW

EC Vitória recent form

LDDLL

Recent form

Mirassol FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wat Coritiba FBC2–1
  • Lat Flamengo0–2
  • Dvs SE Palmeiras1–1
  • Dat Santos FC1–1
  • Lvs Flamengo1–5

EC Vitória

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Grêmio FBPA1–0
  • Lat CA Mineiro1–2
  • Lvs EC Bahia0–2
  • Wvs Botafogo FR1–0
  • Wvs São Paulo FC1–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.