Premier League · Matchweek 14

Leeds United FC vs Ipswich Town FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 (GMT)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Leeds United FC win55%
Draw23%
Ipswich Town FC win22%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.07

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Leeds United FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Ipswich Town FC, who have shipped goals above the Premier League average on the road. Ipswich Town FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 0–15.9%
  • 1–25.8%
  • 3–05.6%

Team comparison

StatisticLeeds United FCIpswich Town FC
Matches played1010
Points per match1.401.10
Goals per match1.001.50
Goals conceded per match0.802.00
Home / away goals scored79
Home / away goals conceded313
Last 5 points55
Last 5 goals scored38
Last 5 goals conceded59
Win percentage30%30%

Leeds United FC recent form

LDDLW

Ipswich Town FC recent form

WLDDL

Recent form

Leeds United FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1–0
  • Lat AFC Bournemouth0–2
  • Dat Sunderland AFC0–0
  • Dvs Manchester United FC1–1
  • Lat Arsenal FC1–2

Ipswich Town FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lvs AFC Bournemouth1–2
  • Dat Hull City AFC2–2
  • Dvs Nottingham Forest FC1–1
  • Lat Manchester City FC2–3
  • Wvs Fulham FC2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.