Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 28
Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 28
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Grêmio FBPA win29%
Draw26%
SE Palmeiras win45%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 52%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 1.14 – 1.47
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
SE Palmeiras have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. SE Palmeiras arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.4%
- 0–28.0%
- 0–07.4%
- 2–17.0%
- 2–25.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Grêmio FBPA | SE Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 5 |
| Points per match | 0.57 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.57 | 0.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 1 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 2 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 40% |
Grêmio FBPA recent form
WLLLD
SE Palmeiras recent form
WDDWD
Recent form
Grêmio FBPA
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Botafogo FR2–3
- Lvs CR Vasco da Gama1–2
- Lat EC Vitória0–1
- Wvs Chapecoense AF3–1
- Lat RB Bragantino0–1
SE Palmeiras
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs São Paulo FC2–0
- Dat Botafogo FR0–0
- Dat Mirassol FC1–1
- Wvs CR Vasco da Gama4–1
- Wat Ceará SC3–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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Draw
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Away
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Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.