Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 38

Grêmio FBPA vs Mirassol FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Thu 3 Dec, 00:30 (GMT)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 38
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Grêmio FBPA win36%
Draw27%
Mirassol FC win36%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.23

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Grêmio FBPA have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Mirassol FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 1–010.5%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 0–26.5%
  • 2–06.4%

Team comparison

StatisticGrêmio FBPAMirassol FC
Matches played1313
Points per match0.921.31
Goals per match1.081.15
Goals conceded per match1.541.38
Home / away goals scored96
Home / away goals conceded89
Last 5 points77
Last 5 goals scored75
Last 5 goals conceded85
Win percentage23%31%

Grêmio FBPA recent form

DLWWL

Mirassol FC recent form

LWDLW

Recent form

Grêmio FBPA

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Flamengo1–3
  • Wvs CA Paranaense2–0
  • Wat Coritiba FBC1–0
  • Lvs Cruzeiro EC2–4
  • Dvs SC Internacional1–1

Mirassol FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Chapecoense AF2–1
  • Lat SC Corinthians Paulista0–2
  • Dvs São Paulo FC1–1
  • Wvs SC Internacional2–0
  • Lat EC Bahia0–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 12 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.