Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 46%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 35
Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Thu 19 Nov, 00:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 35
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Grêmio FBPA win37%
Draw23%
EC Bahia win40%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 1.61 – 1.71
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Grêmio FBPA have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. EC Bahia's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 0–16.2%
- 1–05.8%
- 0–25.3%
- 1–34.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Grêmio FBPA | EC Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 13 | 12 |
| Points per match | 0.92 | 1.67 |
| Goals per match | 1.08 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.54 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 12 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 23% | 50% |
Grêmio FBPA recent form
DLWWL
EC Bahia recent form
WLDWL
Recent form
Grêmio FBPA
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Flamengo1–3
- Wvs CA Paranaense2–0
- Wat Coritiba FBC1–0
- Lvs Cruzeiro EC2–4
- Dvs SC Internacional1–1
EC Bahia
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded
- Lat Cruzeiro EC2–3
- Wvs São Paulo FC3–2
- Dat Santos FC1–1
- Lvs Flamengo0–3
- Wvs Mirassol FC1–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Clube do Remo vs Chapecoense AF
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 48%BTTS: 51%
High confidenceFull prediction
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Flamengo vs CA Paranaense
Home
79%
Draw
12%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 62%
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SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 38%BTTS: 44%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.