Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 31

Grêmio FBPA vs Cruzeiro EC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 31
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Grêmio FBPA win31%
Draw23%
Cruzeiro EC win45%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Under 2.5 goals
39%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.73

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Grêmio FBPA have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Cruzeiro EC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Cruzeiro EC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 0–26.5%
  • 2–26.4%
  • 1–06.1%
  • 1–35.3%

Team comparison

StatisticGrêmio FBPACruzeiro EC
Matches played1312
Points per match0.922.25
Goals per match1.082.08
Goals conceded per match1.541.42
Home / away goals scored914
Home / away goals conceded813
Last 5 points712
Last 5 goals scored711
Last 5 goals conceded88
Win percentage23%75%

Grêmio FBPA recent form

DLWWL

Cruzeiro EC recent form

LWWWW

Recent form

Grêmio FBPA

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dvs SC Internacional1–1
  • Dat Clube do Remo1–1
  • Dvs SE Palmeiras0–0
  • Lat Botafogo FR2–3
  • Lvs CR Vasco da Gama1–2

Cruzeiro EC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat RB Bragantino2–4
  • Wvs São Paulo FC2–0
  • Wat EC Vitória3–1
  • Lat Santos FC1–2
  • Wvs CA Paranaense3–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.