Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 31

Grêmio FBPA vs Cruzeiro EC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 31
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Grêmio FBPA win32%
Draw24%
Cruzeiro EC win44%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.65

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Grêmio FBPA have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Cruzeiro EC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Cruzeiro EC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 1–06.7%
  • 0–26.6%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 1–35.0%

Team comparison

StatisticGrêmio FBPACruzeiro EC
Matches played76
Points per match0.572.00
Goals per match0.862.00
Goals conceded per match1.571.50
Home / away goals scored47
Home / away goals conceded37
Last 5 points49
Last 5 goals scored610
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage14%67%

Grêmio FBPA recent form

WLLLD

Cruzeiro EC recent form

WLWLW

Recent form

Grêmio FBPA

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dvs SE Palmeiras0–0
  • Lat Botafogo FR2–3
  • Lvs CR Vasco da Gama1–2
  • Lat EC Vitória0–1
  • Wvs Chapecoense AF3–1

Cruzeiro EC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat EC Vitória3–1
  • Lat Santos FC1–2
  • Wvs CA Paranaense3–1
  • Lat CR Vasco da Gama1–3
  • Wvs Flamengo2–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.