Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 27
Grêmio FBPA vs CR Vasco da Gama Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 27
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Grêmio FBPA win66%
Draw19%
CR Vasco da Gama win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 2.24 – 0.96
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
CR Vasco da Gama have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–18.8%
- 3–07.6%
- 3–17.3%
- 2–24.7%
- 4–04.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Grêmio FBPA | CR Vasco da Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 6 |
| Points per match | 0.57 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 1.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 50% |
Grêmio FBPA recent form
WLLLD
CR Vasco da Gama recent form
LWLWW
Recent form
Grêmio FBPA
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat EC Vitória0–1
- Wvs Chapecoense AF3–1
- Lat RB Bragantino0–1
- Lat CA Mineiro0–3
- Wat SC Recife4–0
CR Vasco da Gama
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 14 conceded
- Lat Fluminense FC0–1
- Wvs Cruzeiro EC3–1
- Lat SE Palmeiras1–4
- Lvs Santos FC0–3
- Lat CA Mineiro0–5
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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Home
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Draw
23%
Away
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Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.