Serie A · Matchweek 14

Frosinone Calcio vs Inter Milan Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Dec, 17:00 (GMT)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Frosinone Calcio win43%
Draw21%
Inter Milan win36%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Under 2.5 goals
26%
BTTS yes
73%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
53%
BTTS no
27%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.84

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Frosinone Calcio, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Inter Milan have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Inter Milan's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–17.9%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 3–15.3%
  • 3–24.9%
  • 1–34.5%
  • 2–34.5%

Team comparison

StatisticFrosinone CalcioInter Milan
Matches played1111
Points per match1.822.55
Goals per match2.182.55
Goals conceded per match1.361.18
Home / away goals scored169
Home / away goals conceded66
Last 5 points1012
Last 5 goals scored1510
Last 5 goals conceded85
Win percentage55%82%

Frosinone Calcio recent form

WDWWL

Inter Milan recent form

WWWLW

Recent form

Frosinone Calcio

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Cagliari Calcio0–1
  • Wvs Torino FC2–0
  • Wvs US Lecce5–1
  • Dat Atalanta BC4–4
  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio4–2

Inter Milan

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Como 19072–0
  • Wat Feyenoord Rotterdam3–0
  • Lat AC Milan1–3
  • Wat Venezia FC2–0
  • Wvs ACF Fiorentina2–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.