Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 29
Fluminense FC vs Coritiba FBC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 9 Oct, 01:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 29
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Fluminense FC win67%
Draw17%
Coritiba FBC win16%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 51%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 2.54 – 1.17
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Coritiba FBC, who have shipped goals above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average on the road. Fluminense FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Fluminense FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.3%
- 3–06.7%
- 1–06.2%
- 2–25.4%
- 4–15.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Fluminense FC | Coritiba FBC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 6 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 2.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 33% |
Fluminense FC recent form
WDWLW
Coritiba FBC recent form
WWLDL
Recent form
Fluminense FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista3–1
- Lat CA Mineiro1–3
- Wvs CR Vasco da Gama1–0
- Dat CA Paranaense3–3
- Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
Coritiba FBC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded
- Lat CR Vasco da Gama0–5
- Dvs CA Paranaense3–3
- Lvs Mirassol FC1–2
- Wat Clube do Remo3–2
- Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.