Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 46%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 29
Fluminense FC vs Coritiba FBC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 9 Oct, 01:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 29
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Fluminense FC win67%
Draw17%
Coritiba FBC win16%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS yes
- 63%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 51%
- BTTS no
- 37%
- Expected goals
- 2.54 – 1.17
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Coritiba FBC, who have shipped goals above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average on the road. Fluminense FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Fluminense FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.3%
- 3–06.7%
- 1–06.3%
- 2–25.4%
- 4–15.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Fluminense FC | Coritiba FBC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 12 |
| Points per match | 1.73 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.91 | 1.08 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.27 | 1.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 25% |
Fluminense FC recent form
LLLWW
Coritiba FBC recent form
DLLWL
Recent form
Fluminense FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista3–1
- Lat CA Mineiro1–3
- Wvs CR Vasco da Gama1–0
- Dat CA Paranaense3–3
- Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
Coritiba FBC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded
- Lat CR Vasco da Gama0–5
- Dvs CA Paranaense3–3
- Lvs Mirassol FC1–2
- Wat Clube do Remo3–2
- Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 9 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Clube do Remo vs Chapecoense AF
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 48%BTTS: 51%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Flamengo vs CA Paranaense
Home
79%
Draw
12%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 38%BTTS: 44%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.