Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 3
Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 31 Aug, 20:30 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Mon 31 Aug, 21:30 (CEST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- Barcelona, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Barcelona win72%
Draw17%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win11%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS yes
- 50%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS no
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 2.36 – 0.80
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Barcelona's home scoring output above the Primera Division average. The model expects fewer away goals given Barcelona's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Barcelona, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.8%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–09.3%
- 1–18.0%
- 3–17.4%
- 4–05.5%
- 4–14.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Barcelona | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 6 |
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 4.43 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 14 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 24 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 100% | 33% |
Barcelona recent form
WWWWW
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form
LWLWD
Recent form
Barcelona
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Athletic Club2–0
- Wat Elche CF5–0
- Lat Valencia CF1–3
- Wvs Real Betis Balompié3–1
- Lat Deportivo Alavés0–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 4 conceded
- Dvs Deportivo Alavés1–1
- Wat Deportivo Alavés2–1
- Wvs Villarreal CF2–0
- Dat Valencia CF1–1
- Dvs Girona FC1–1
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 31 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.