Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 2
Elche CF vs Barcelona Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 23 Aug, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Elche CF win37%
Draw27%
Barcelona win35%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 55%
- BTTS yes
- 50%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 70%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 23%
- BTTS no
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 1.25 – 1.21
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–110.3%
- 0–08.5%
- 2–18.1%
- 1–27.8%
- 2–06.7%
- 0–26.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Elche CF | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.71 | 3.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.57 | 4.43 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.43 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 17 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 24 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 100% |
Elche CF recent form
LLDLW
Barcelona recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Elche CF
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
- Dat Girona FC1–1
- Wvs Getafe CF1–0
- Lat Real Betis Balompié1–2
- Dvs Deportivo Alavés1–1
Barcelona
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Valencia CF1–3
- Wvs Real Betis Balompié3–1
- Lat Deportivo Alavés0–1
- Wvs Real Madrid2–0
- Wat CA Osasuna2–1
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.