Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 26

EC Vitória vs Grêmio FBPA Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 8 Sept, 00:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 26
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

EC Vitória win47%
Draw27%
Grêmio FBPA win26%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Under 2.5 goals
59%
BTTS yes
46%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
BTTS no
54%
Expected goals
1.39 – 0.94

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees EC Vitória's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.5%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–09.8%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–26.0%
  • 0–24.3%

Team comparison

StatisticEC VitóriaGrêmio FBPA
Matches played67
Points per match1.170.57
Goals per match1.000.86
Goals conceded per match1.501.57
Home / away goals scored32
Home / away goals conceded58
Last 5 points44
Last 5 goals scored56
Last 5 goals conceded97
Win percentage33%14%

EC Vitória recent form

LLWDL

Grêmio FBPA recent form

WLLLD

Recent form

EC Vitória

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat CA Mineiro1–2
  • Lvs EC Bahia0–2
  • Wvs Botafogo FR1–0
  • Wvs São Paulo FC1–0
  • Lat RB Bragantino0–4

Grêmio FBPA

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Chapecoense AF3–1
  • Lat RB Bragantino0–1
  • Lat CA Mineiro0–3
  • Wat SC Recife4–0
  • Lvs Fluminense FC1–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 7 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.