Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 46%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 28
EC Vitória vs Cruzeiro EC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 28
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
EC Vitória win39%
Draw26%
Cruzeiro EC win35%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.37 – 1.30
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees EC Vitória's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given EC Vitória's home defensive numbers. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Cruzeiro EC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–06.9%
- 2–06.5%
- 0–25.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | EC Vitória | Cruzeiro EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Goals per match | 1.08 | 2.08 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.42 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 14 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 2 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 75% |
EC Vitória recent form
LDDLL
Cruzeiro EC recent form
LWWWW
Recent form
EC Vitória
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat Mirassol FC2–2
- Wvs Grêmio FBPA1–0
- Lat CA Mineiro1–2
- Lvs EC Bahia0–2
- Wvs Botafogo FR1–0
Cruzeiro EC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Santos FC1–2
- Wvs CA Paranaense3–1
- Lat CR Vasco da Gama1–3
- Wvs Flamengo2–1
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Clube do Remo vs Chapecoense AF
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 48%BTTS: 51%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Flamengo vs CA Paranaense
Home
79%
Draw
12%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 38%BTTS: 44%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.