Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 28
EC Vitória vs Cruzeiro EC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 28
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
EC Vitória win39%
Draw26%
Cruzeiro EC win35%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.37 – 1.30
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees EC Vitória's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given EC Vitória's home defensive numbers. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Cruzeiro EC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–19.0%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–06.9%
- 2–06.5%
- 0–25.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | EC Vitória | Cruzeiro EC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 67% |
EC Vitória recent form
LLWDL
Cruzeiro EC recent form
WLWLW
Recent form
EC Vitória
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat Mirassol FC2–2
- Wvs Grêmio FBPA1–0
- Lat CA Mineiro1–2
- Lvs EC Bahia0–2
- Wvs Botafogo FR1–0
Cruzeiro EC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Santos FC1–2
- Wvs CA Paranaense3–1
- Lat CR Vasco da Gama1–3
- Wvs Flamengo2–1
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.