Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 29
EC Vitória vs Chapecoense AF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Thu 8 Oct, 00:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 29
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
EC Vitória win34%
Draw26%
Chapecoense AF win40%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 51%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 74%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 27%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.26 – 1.38
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
EC Vitória have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.8%
- 0–07.1%
- 0–26.8%
- 2–05.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | EC Vitória | Chapecoense AF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 33% |
EC Vitória recent form
LLWDL
Chapecoense AF recent form
WLWLD
Recent form
EC Vitória
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded
- Lvs Cruzeiro EC1–3
- Dat Mirassol FC2–2
- Wvs Grêmio FBPA1–0
- Lat CA Mineiro1–2
- Lvs EC Bahia0–2
Chapecoense AF
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat CA Mineiro1–1
- Lvs SC Internacional1–2
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
- Lat Grêmio FBPA1–3
- Wvs São Paulo FC1–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
27%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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51%
Draw
23%
Away
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SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
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60%
Draw
19%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.