Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30

EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 23:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 30
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

EC Bahia win54%
Draw21%
Mirassol FC win25%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
47%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.39

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

EC Bahia have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour EC Bahia, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 2–06.7%
  • 3–16.6%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 1–06.3%
  • 1–26.1%
  • 3–04.8%

Team comparison

StatisticEC BahiaMirassol FC
Matches played67
Points per match2.171.29
Goals per match2.331.29
Goals conceded per match1.671.71
Home / away goals scored53
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points128
Last 5 goals scored117
Last 5 goals conceded76
Win percentage67%29%

EC Bahia recent form

WWWWL

Mirassol FC recent form

DLWDW

Recent form

EC Bahia

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat CA Paranaense1–2
  • Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
  • Wat RB Bragantino3–2
  • Wvs SC Internacional3–2
  • Wat EC Vitória2–0

Mirassol FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Botafogo FR2–0
  • Dvs EC Vitória2–2
  • Wat Coritiba FBC2–1
  • Lat Flamengo0–2
  • Dvs SE Palmeiras1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 21 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.