Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30

EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 23:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 30
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

EC Bahia win49%
Draw22%
Mirassol FC win28%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.40

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

EC Bahia have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Mirassol FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour EC Bahia, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–07.0%
  • 1–26.9%
  • 2–06.6%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 3–15.9%
  • 0–15.1%

Team comparison

StatisticEC BahiaMirassol FC
Matches played1213
Points per match1.671.31
Goals per match1.751.15
Goals conceded per match1.671.38
Home / away goals scored96
Home / away goals conceded89
Last 5 points77
Last 5 goals scored75
Last 5 goals conceded95
Win percentage50%31%

EC Bahia recent form

WLDWL

Mirassol FC recent form

LWDLW

Recent form

EC Bahia

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat SE Palmeiras0–1
  • Lat CA Paranaense1–2
  • Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
  • Wat RB Bragantino3–2
  • Wvs SC Internacional3–2

Mirassol FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat RB Bragantino1–1
  • Wvs Botafogo FR2–0
  • Dvs EC Vitória2–2
  • Wat Coritiba FBC2–1
  • Lat Flamengo0–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 21 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.