Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 31

EC Bahia vs Flamengo Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 22:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 31
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

EC Bahia win26%
Draw19%
Flamengo win55%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
1.66 – 2.42

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

EC Bahia have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Flamengo have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Flamengo's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–28.2%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 1–16.8%
  • 1–36.6%
  • 2–15.6%
  • 2–35.5%
  • 0–24.9%
  • 0–14.1%

Team comparison

StatisticEC BahiaFlamengo
Matches played67
Points per match2.172.57
Goals per match2.332.29
Goals conceded per match1.670.71
Home / away goals scored57
Home / away goals conceded33
Last 5 points1215
Last 5 goals scored1110
Last 5 goals conceded72
Win percentage67%86%

EC Bahia recent form

WWWWL

Flamengo recent form

WWWWW

Recent form

EC Bahia

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat CA Paranaense1–2
  • Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
  • Wat RB Bragantino3–2
  • Wvs SC Internacional3–2
  • Wat EC Vitória2–0

Flamengo

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs RB Bragantino2–1
  • Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
  • Wat Clube do Remo1–0
  • Wvs Mirassol FC2–0
  • Wvs Botafogo FR3–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.