Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 36

EC Bahia vs Coritiba FBC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 20:30 (GMT)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 36
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

EC Bahia win63%
Draw20%
Coritiba FBC win17%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Under 2.5 goals
39%
BTTS yes
57%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
39%
BTTS no
43%
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.03

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Coritiba FBC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 3–17.1%
  • 3–06.8%
  • 2–25.1%
  • 1–24.8%

Team comparison

StatisticEC BahiaCoritiba FBC
Matches played1212
Points per match1.671.00
Goals per match1.751.08
Goals conceded per match1.671.83
Home / away goals scored94
Home / away goals conceded814
Last 5 points74
Last 5 goals scored73
Last 5 goals conceded94
Win percentage50%25%

EC Bahia recent form

WLDWL

Coritiba FBC recent form

DLLWL

Recent form

EC Bahia

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Cruzeiro EC2–3
  • Wvs São Paulo FC3–2
  • Dat Santos FC1–1
  • Lvs Flamengo0–3
  • Wvs Mirassol FC1–0

Coritiba FBC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat SC Internacional0–1
  • Wvs EC Vitória2–0
  • Lvs Grêmio FBPA0–1
  • Lat CA Mineiro0–1
  • Dvs Botafogo FR1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.