Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 38

EC Bahia vs CA Mineiro Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Thu 3 Dec, 00:30 (GMT)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 38
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

EC Bahia win48%
Draw24%
CA Mineiro win28%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.24

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

EC Bahia and CA Mineiro both sit close to the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A statistical average, so the model's expectation is driven mainly by home advantage.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–07.6%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 0–16.7%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 0–05.4%

Team comparison

StatisticEC BahiaCA Mineiro
Matches played1213
Points per match1.671.62
Goals per match1.751.31
Goals conceded per match1.671.00
Home / away goals scored94
Home / away goals conceded88
Last 5 points76
Last 5 goals scored75
Last 5 goals conceded96
Win percentage50%46%

EC Bahia recent form

WLDWL

CA Mineiro recent form

WWLLL

Recent form

EC Bahia

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Cruzeiro EC2–3
  • Wvs São Paulo FC3–2
  • Dat Santos FC1–1
  • Lvs Flamengo0–3
  • Wvs Mirassol FC1–0

CA Mineiro

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Botafogo FR0–1
  • Lvs Cruzeiro EC0–1
  • Lat Flamengo2–3
  • Wvs Coritiba FBC1–0
  • Wvs Santos FC2–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 12 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.