Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 3
Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 28 Aug, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Deportivo Alavés win38%
Draw25%
Villarreal CF win37%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 48%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 76%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.39 – 1.37
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Villarreal CF, who have shipped goals above the Primera Division average on the road. Villarreal CF's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–18.7%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.3%
- 0–06.3%
- 2–06.1%
- 0–25.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Deportivo Alavés | Villarreal CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| Goals per match | 1.33 | 1.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.71 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 29% |
Deportivo Alavés recent form
WWLLD
Villarreal CF recent form
LLLWW
Recent form
Deportivo Alavés
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 4 conceded
- Dat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–1
- Lvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–2
- Wat Real Oviedo1–0
- Wvs Barcelona1–0
- Dat Elche CF1–1
Villarreal CF
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 10 conceded
- Dat Atlético Madrid2–2
- Dat Real Racing Club de Santander2–2
- Wvs Atlético Madrid5–1
- Lat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0–2
- Lvs Sevilla FC2–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 28 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.