Primera Division · Matchweek 1

Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 15 Aug, 18:30 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Deportivo Alavés win35%
Draw30%
Getafe CF win35%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Under 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS yes
43%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
BTTS no
57%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.06

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Getafe CF have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.5%
  • 1–012.7%
  • 0–112.7%
  • 0–012.0%
  • 2–17.2%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 2–06.8%
  • 0–26.7%

Team comparison

StatisticDeportivo AlavésGetafe CF
Matches played66
Points per match1.331.33
Goals per match1.330.67
Goals conceded per match1.000.67
Home / away goals scored60
Home / away goals conceded32
Last 5 points75
Last 5 goals scored73
Last 5 goals conceded54
Win percentage33%33%

Deportivo Alavés recent form

WWLLD

Getafe CF recent form

LDDLW

Recent form

Deportivo Alavés

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–2
  • Wat Real Oviedo1–0
  • Wvs Barcelona1–0
  • Dat Elche CF1–1
  • Lvs Athletic Club2–4

Getafe CF

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs CA Osasuna1–0
  • Lat Elche CF0–1
  • Wvs RCD Mallorca3–1
  • Dat Real Oviedo0–0
  • Lvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.