Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 28

CR Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba FBC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 20 Sept, 00:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 28
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CR Vasco da Gama win29%
Draw21%
Coritiba FBC win50%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Under 2.5 goals
29%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
1.56 – 2.10

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Coritiba FBC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–18.4%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 2–16.6%
  • 1–36.2%
  • 0–25.6%
  • 0–15.4%
  • 2–34.9%

Team comparison

StatisticCR Vasco da GamaCoritiba FBC
Matches played66
Points per match1.501.33
Goals per match1.831.67
Goals conceded per match1.672.33
Home / away goals scored84
Home / away goals conceded48
Last 5 points97
Last 5 goals scored119
Last 5 goals conceded713
Win percentage50%33%

CR Vasco da Gama recent form

LWLWW

Coritiba FBC recent form

WWLDL

Recent form

CR Vasco da Gama

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wat Grêmio FBPA2–1
  • Lat Fluminense FC0–1
  • Wvs Cruzeiro EC3–1
  • Lat SE Palmeiras1–4
  • Lvs Santos FC0–3

Coritiba FBC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dvs CA Paranaense3–3
  • Lvs Mirassol FC1–2
  • Wat Clube do Remo3–2
  • Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
  • Dat São Paulo FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.