Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 27

Flamengo vs SC Corinthians Paulista Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 13 Sept, 21:30 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Sun 13 Sept, 17:30 (GMT-3)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 27
Venue
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

United Matchday prediction

Flamengo win82%
Draw12%
SC Corinthians Paulista win6%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
41%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
59%
Expected goals
2.72 – 0.59

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Flamengo's home scoring output above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average. Flamengo's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Flamengo, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–013.6%
  • 3–012.3%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 4–08.4%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 1–15.9%
  • 4–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticFlamengoSC Corinthians Paulista
Matches played1312
Points per match2.620.42
Goals per match2.461.00
Goals conceded per match0.851.83
Home / away goals scored166
Home / away goals conceded513
Last 5 points155
Last 5 goals scored146
Last 5 goals conceded48
Win percentage85%8%

Flamengo recent form

WWWWW

SC Corinthians Paulista recent form

LDLWD

Recent form

Flamengo

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wat Clube do Remo1–0
  • Wvs Mirassol FC2–0
  • Wvs Botafogo FR3–0
  • Lat Cruzeiro EC1–2
  • Wat Mirassol FC5–1

SC Corinthians Paulista

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Chapecoense AF1–2
  • Lvs Santos FC0–1
  • Lat Coritiba FBC1–2
  • Lvs Cruzeiro EC1–2
  • Dvs EC Juventude1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.