Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 28

Flamengo vs RB Bragantino Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 20 Sept, 22:30 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Sun 20 Sept, 18:30 (GMT-3)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 28
Venue
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

United Matchday prediction

Flamengo win74%
Draw16%
RB Bragantino win9%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Under 2.5 goals
39%
BTTS yes
47%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
53%
Expected goals
2.41 – 0.73

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Flamengo's home scoring output above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average. The model expects fewer away goals given Flamengo's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Flamengo, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.5%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 3–010.1%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–17.6%
  • 3–17.4%
  • 4–06.1%
  • 4–14.4%

Team comparison

StatisticFlamengoRB Bragantino
Matches played1312
Points per match2.621.25
Goals per match2.461.42
Goals conceded per match0.851.33
Home / away goals scored164
Home / away goals conceded59
Last 5 points1510
Last 5 goals scored1410
Last 5 goals conceded46
Win percentage85%33%

Flamengo recent form

WWWWW

RB Bragantino recent form

WDLWW

Recent form

Flamengo

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
  • Wat Clube do Remo1–0
  • Wvs Mirassol FC2–0
  • Wvs Botafogo FR3–0
  • Lat Cruzeiro EC1–2

RB Bragantino

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dat Botafogo FR1–1
  • Lvs EC Bahia2–3
  • Lat São Paulo FC1–2
  • Wvs Grêmio FBPA1–0
  • Lat SC Internacional1–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.