Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30
Flamengo vs Fluminense FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 21:30 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 (GMT-3)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 30
- Venue
- Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
United Matchday prediction
Flamengo win70%
Draw16%
Fluminense FC win14%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 2.76 – 1.20
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Flamengo have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Fluminense FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.7%
- 3–18.0%
- 2–07.3%
- 3–06.7%
- 1–16.3%
- 4–15.6%
- 1–05.3%
- 2–25.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Flamengo | Fluminense FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 5 |
| Points per match | 2.57 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.29 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.71 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 86% | 60% |
Flamengo recent form
WWWWW
Fluminense FC recent form
WDWLW
Recent form
Flamengo
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs RB Bragantino2–1
- Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
- Wat Clube do Remo1–0
- Wvs Mirassol FC2–0
- Wvs Botafogo FR3–0
Fluminense FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat SC Corinthians Paulista3–1
- Lat CA Mineiro1–3
- Wvs CR Vasco da Gama1–0
- Dat CA Paranaense3–3
- Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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51%
Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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60%
Draw
19%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.