Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30

Flamengo vs Fluminense FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 21:30 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 (GMT-3)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 30
Venue
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

United Matchday prediction

Flamengo win65%
Draw17%
Fluminense FC win18%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
2.62 – 1.33

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Flamengo have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Fluminense FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.8%
  • 3–17.7%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 2–06.6%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 3–05.8%
  • 3–25.1%
  • 1–05.0%

Team comparison

StatisticFlamengoFluminense FC
Matches played1311
Points per match2.621.73
Goals per match2.461.91
Goals conceded per match0.851.27
Home / away goals scored1611
Home / away goals conceded510
Last 5 points156
Last 5 goals scored147
Last 5 goals conceded46
Win percentage85%55%

Flamengo recent form

WWWWW

Fluminense FC recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

Flamengo

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat Santos FC2–2
  • Wvs RB Bragantino2–1
  • Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
  • Wat Clube do Remo1–0
  • Wvs Mirassol FC2–0

Fluminense FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Coritiba FBC4–0
  • Wat SC Corinthians Paulista3–1
  • Lat CA Mineiro1–3
  • Wvs CR Vasco da Gama1–0
  • Dat CA Paranaense3–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.