Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Mirassol FC vs CA Mineiro
Home
48%
Draw
26%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 46%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 38
Flamengo vs Chapecoense AF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Thu 3 Dec, 00:30 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Wed 2 Dec, 21:30 (GMT-3)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 38
- Venue
- Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
United Matchday prediction
Flamengo win90%
Draw7%
Chapecoense AF win3%
- Predicted score
- 3–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 77%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 23%
- BTTS yes
- 42%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 58%
- BTTS no
- 58%
- Expected goals
- 3.50 – 0.57
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Flamengo's home scoring output above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average. Away defensive numbers work against Chapecoense AF, who have shipped goals above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average on the road. Flamengo's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–012.3%
- 4–010.8%
- 2–010.6%
- 5–07.6%
- 3–17.0%
- 4–16.1%
- 1–06.0%
- 2–16.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Flamengo | Chapecoense AF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 13 | 12 |
| Points per match | 2.62 | 0.92 |
| Goals per match | 2.46 | 1.08 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.85 | 2.08 |
| Home / away goals scored | 16 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 85% | 25% |
Flamengo recent form
WWWWW
Chapecoense AF recent form
LLWLL
Recent form
Flamengo
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Grêmio FBPA3–1
- Wat CR Vasco da Gama4–1
- Wvs CA Mineiro3–2
- Wat EC Bahia3–0
- Wvs Fluminense FC1–0
Chapecoense AF
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 11 conceded
- Lvs Mirassol FC1–2
- Lat RB Bragantino0–3
- Wvs Fluminense FC2–1
- Lat Botafogo FR0–1
- Lvs CA Paranaense1–4
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 12 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Clube do Remo vs Chapecoense AF
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 48%BTTS: 51%
High confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Flamengo vs CA Paranaense
Home
79%
Draw
12%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 80%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SC Corinthians Paulista vs Botafogo FR
Home
43%
Draw
29%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 38%BTTS: 44%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.