Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 27

Coritiba FBC vs CA Paranaense Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 01:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 27
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Coritiba FBC win49%
Draw21%
CA Paranaense win30%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Under 2.5 goals
27%
BTTS yes
72%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
53%
BTTS no
28%
Expected goals
2.15 – 1.66

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

CA Paranaense have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. CA Paranaense carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–26.6%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 2–05.1%
  • 3–25.1%
  • 1–04.7%

Team comparison

StatisticCoritiba FBCCA Paranaense
Matches played65
Points per match1.331.60
Goals per match1.672.40
Goals conceded per match2.332.40
Home / away goals scored67
Home / away goals conceded68
Last 5 points78
Last 5 goals scored912
Last 5 goals conceded1312
Win percentage33%40%

Coritiba FBC recent form

WWLDL

CA Paranaense recent form

WDLDW

Recent form

Coritiba FBC

2W 1D 1L in the last 4 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lvs Mirassol FC1–2
  • Wat Clube do Remo3–2
  • Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
  • Dat São Paulo FC1–1

CA Paranaense

1W 1D 1L in the last 3 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Cruzeiro EC1–3
  • Dvs Fluminense FC3–3
  • Wat Botafogo FR3–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 11 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.