Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 2
Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 23 Aug, 16:00 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 23 Aug, 17:00 (CEST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Atlético Madrid win59%
Draw22%
Villarreal CF win19%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 77%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 1.88 – 0.95
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Villarreal CF's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Recent results also favour Atlético Madrid, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.1%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.5%
- 3–16.2%
- 0–05.9%
- 0–15.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Atlético Madrid | Villarreal CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 2.29 | 1.14 |
| Goals per match | 2.29 | 1.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.71 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 71% | 29% |
Atlético Madrid recent form
WLWWW
Villarreal CF recent form
LLLWW
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Málaga CF2–0
- Lat Villarreal CF1–5
- Wvs Girona FC1–0
- Wat CA Osasuna2–1
- Lvs RC Celta de Vigo0–1
Villarreal CF
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded
- Dat Real Racing Club de Santander2–2
- Wvs Atlético Madrid5–1
- Lat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid0–2
- Lvs Sevilla FC2–3
- Dat RCD Mallorca1–1
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.