Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 14
Chelsea FC vs Liverpool FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 12:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 14
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge, London, England
United Matchday prediction
Chelsea FC win34%
Draw22%
Liverpool FC win44%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS yes
- 68%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS no
- 32%
- Expected goals
- 1.65 – 1.89
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Chelsea FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Liverpool FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Liverpool FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.1%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–15.5%
- 1–35.4%
- 0–25.2%
- 1–04.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Chelsea FC | Liverpool FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 13 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 50% |
Chelsea FC recent form
WWLWL
Liverpool FC recent form
LWWLW
Recent form
Chelsea FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded
- Lat Sunderland AFC0–1
- Wvs Manchester United FC2–0
- Lvs Tottenham Hotspur FC0–2
- Wat Everton FC2–0
- Wvs AFC Bournemouth5–1
Liverpool FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat Crystal Palace FC3–1
- Lat Fenerbahçe SK2–3
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
- Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC2–0
- Wvs Villarreal CF4–3
Team news
Chelsea FC
Liverpool FC
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 12:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Fulham FC
Home
41%
Draw
30%
Away
29%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 34%BTTS: 41%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Hull City AFC
Home
57%
Draw
25%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 44%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.