Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 37

Chapecoense AF vs SE Palmeiras Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 24 Nov, 21:00 (GMT)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 37
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Chapecoense AF win8%
Draw17%
SE Palmeiras win75%
Predicted score
0–2
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
39%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
61%
Expected goals
0.58 – 2.20

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Chapecoense AF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. SE Palmeiras have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. SE Palmeiras arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–215.1%
  • 0–113.7%
  • 0–311.0%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 1–36.4%
  • 0–06.2%
  • 0–46.1%

Team comparison

StatisticChapecoense AFSE Palmeiras
Matches played1211
Points per match0.922.27
Goals per match1.082.00
Goals conceded per match2.080.36
Home / away goals scored93
Home / away goals conceded121
Last 5 points313
Last 5 goals scored414
Last 5 goals conceded112
Win percentage25%64%

Chapecoense AF recent form

LLWLL

SE Palmeiras recent form

WWWDW

Recent form

Chapecoense AF

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Mirassol FC1–2
  • Lat RB Bragantino0–3
  • Wvs Fluminense FC2–1
  • Lat Botafogo FR0–1
  • Lvs CA Paranaense1–4

SE Palmeiras

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs Clube do Remo6–1
  • Dat Santos FC0–0
  • Wvs RB Bragantino2–0
  • Wat CA Paranaense2–0
  • Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista4–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.